China Monetary Policy Report Q2 2024

Since the beginning of 2024, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, China has deepened reform and opening-up, strengthened macro regulation and control, and managed to combat risks and challenges. Economic performance overall was stable with steady progress, sustaining an upward trend. In first half year of 2024 (H1), the GDP grew 5 percent year on year and the CPI rose 0.1 percent year on year.

How far will the yen appreciate as it strengthens against the dollar?

At one point, the yen-dollar exchange rate touched the 139 yen per dollar range. The opportunity is the U.S. Federal Reserve Board (FRB) to start a substantial interest rate cut is expected to re-emerge, but the yen strengthened the background of the U.S. economic outlook is worrying and Japan and the U.S. interest rate differentials narrowed. However, Japanese households to buy overseas assets, such as “structural yen selling” still exists, the yen appreciation is difficult to develop in one direction.

Highlights of Monetary Policies in H1 2024

On January 15, with RMB779 billion worth of medium-term lending facility (MLF) expired, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) conducted MLF operations in the amount of RMB995 billion, with an interest rate of 2.5 percent, unchanged from the previous operations.

On January 22, with the authorization of the PBOC, the National Interbank Funding Center (NIFC) announced the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) as follows: the one-year and the over-five-year LPR would be 3.45 percent and 4.20 percent, respectively, unchanged from the previous announcement.